基于交通一卡通数据的交通状态分析及动态控制研究

    A Study of Traffic Status and Dynamic Control Based on IC Card Data

    • 摘要: 针对公交出行需求的快速增长及出行结构的现状,提出了公交出行动态收费控制模型及其应用方法.本文以公交线路一卡通刷卡数据为研究对象,通过利用统计、对比、建模等方法,对出行人群的出行时间、出行类型占比及其变化曲线进行分析,总结出城市居民公交出行的行为特征和规律,以此研究并提出公交动态收费控制方法来优化公交出行结构.结果表明,这种针对老年人的动态控制模型设计可以有效优化日常出行结构,降低公交拥挤密度,提升公共交通出行效率和治理水平.

       

      Abstract: Considering the rapidly growing demand of travel and unreasonable structure, a kind of dynamic charge model and application of bus travel is put forward. As is known, people have different travel behaviors in different periods of a day, which leads to kinds of traffic status. By analyzing data of IC card, a curve model is built in order to discover travel patterns of urban people, and further optimize transportation in rush hour. IC card data from bus-line in the city is studied by statistics, contrast and model-building to further analyze travel time, demand and varying curve to find the travel habits of urban people. Lastly, measures of dynamic charge are proposed to control travel flow in busy time. The result shows that this dynamic control design can optimize the daily travel structure and reduce travel density, which probably provides some reference for public transportation management.

       

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