全球肉类虚拟蛋白质贸易网络结构研究

    Structure of the Global Virtual Meat Protein Trade Network

    • 摘要: 全球肉类养殖资源分布不均导致蛋白质供需错配,且目前肉类贸易背后承载的虚拟蛋白质流动机理及其演变模式仍不清晰。本文构建了1995~2022年全球肉类虚拟蛋白质贸易网络,旨在深入剖析其结构演变、地理格局及不平等性。本文将全球肉类贸易数据转化为虚拟蛋白质流,并运用复杂网络分析,全面考察了网络的拓扑指标(平均度、图密度、聚类系数、路径长度、社区数量和模块化)。同时,引入基尼系数量化进出口不平等性。结果显示,全球肉类虚拟蛋白质贸易总量显著增长,禽肉类增速尤为突出。贸易格局高度集中,中国、美国和德国合计占全球虚拟蛋白质进口量的25.3%。贸易关系从区域性向全球化演变,新兴经济体角色日益重要。网络结构分析表明其连通性增强,效率和集群性动态变化,社群划分渐趋清晰。基尼系数证实,全球肉类虚拟蛋白质贸易存在显著不平等性,出口端尤甚。本研究首次构建全球肉类虚拟蛋白质贸易网络,并从营养价值流动与网络结构耦合角度揭示贸易集中性与不平等机制。

       

      Abstract: Given the uneven global distribution of livestock resources leading to a mismatch in protein supply and demand, and the current lack of clarity regarding the mechanisms and evolution of virtual protein flows embedded within meat trade, this study constructs a global virtual meat protein trade network for the period 1995~2022. Our aim is to deeply analyze its structural evolution, geographical patterns, and inherent inequalities. We converted global meat trade data into virtual protein flows and employed complex network analysis to comprehensively examine the network's topological indicators, including average degree, graph density, clustering coefficient, path length, number of communities, and modularity. Additionally, the Gini coefficient was introduced to quantify import and export inequalities. Results reveal a significant increase in the total volume of global virtual meat protein trade, with poultry experiencing particularly rapid growth. The trade pattern is highly concentrated, with China, the United States, and Germany accounting for 25.3% of global virtual protein imports. Trade relations have evolved from regional to global, with emerging economies playing an increasingly pivotal role. Network structure analysis indicates enhanced connectivity, dynamic changes in efficiency and clustering, and clearer community delineation. The Gini coefficient confirms a significant inequality in global virtual meat protein trade, especially pronounced in exports. This research is the first to construct a global virtual protein trade network for meat and reveals the mechanisms of trade concentration and inequality from the perspective of the coupling of nutritional value flow and network structure.

       

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