Journal of Guangdong University of Technology ›› 2018, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (03): 61-66.doi: 10.12052/gdutxb.170163

Previous Articles     Next Articles

An Adaptive Online Portfolio Strategy Based on Moving Window

Yang Xing-yu, He Jin-an, Shen Jian-hua   

  1. School of Management, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510520, China
  • Received:2017-12-05 Online:2018-05-09 Published:2018-04-26

Abstract: Online portfolio selection is an important research problem in the field of quantitative investment. To avoid the interference with current investment decisions caused by the stock price data far from now in the intensely fluctuating stock market, online portfolio strategies based on moving window are designed. Using the recent stock price data, the recent performances of all constant rebalanced portfolios are computed and ranked. An online portfolio strategy based on moving window is designed by weighted averaging all constant rebalanced portfolios. Further using adaptive learning method to select the length of the moving window, the adaptive learning strategy is put forward. Empirical analyses are made on the proposed strategies using the real stock price data. The results show that they have better performance.

Key words: portfolio, moving window, adaptive strategy, online algorithm, empirical analysis

CLC Number: 

  • F830.59
[1] MARKOWITZ H M. Portfolio selection[J]. Journal of Finance, 1952, 7(1):77-91.
[2] 王伟, 刘巍. 不确定收益率下投资组合的可拓评价及变换[J]. 广东工业大学学报, 2012, 29(1):83-87.WANG W, LIU W. Extension evaluation and transformation of the stock under uncertain profit rates[J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2012, 29(1):83-87.
[3] BASAK S, CHABAKAURI G. Dynamic mean-variance asset allocation[J]. Review of Financial Studies, 2010, 23(8):2970-3016.
[4] HUANG X X, QIAO L. A risk index model for multi-period uncertain portfolio selection[J]. Information Sciences, 2012, 217(25):108-116.
[5] COVER T M. Universal portfolios[J]. Mathematical Finance, 1991, 1(1):1-29.
[6] SINGER Y. Switching portfolios[J]. International Journal of Neural Systems, 1997, 8(4):445-455.
[7] AGARWAL A, HAZAN E, KALE S, et al. Algorithms for portfolio management based on the Newton method[C]//Proceedings of International Conference on Machine Learning. Pittsburgh:ACM, 2006:9-16.
[8] HELMBOLD D, SCHAPIR R, SINGER Y, et al. On-line portfolio selection using multiplicative updates[J]. Mathematical Finance, 1998, 8(4):325-347.
[9] 张卫国, 张永, 徐维军, 等. 基于线性学习函数的泛证券投资组合策略[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2012, 32(8):1647-1654.ZHANG W G, ZHANG Y, XU W J, et al. Universal portfolio based on on-line learning of linear function[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2012, 32(8):1647-1654.
[10] 张永, 张卫国, 徐维军, 等. 集成有限个专家意见的在线投资组合策略[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2015, 35(1):57-66.ZHANG Y, ZHANG W G, XU W J, et al. Online portfolio selection strategy by aggregating finite expert advices[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2015, 35(1):57-66.
[11] 刘善存, 邱菀华, 汪寿阳. 带交易费用的泛证券组合投资策略[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2003, 23(1):22-25.LIU S C, QIU W H, Wang S Y. Universal portfolio selection with transaction Costs[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2003, 23(1):22-25.
[12] BORODIN A, EL-YANIV R, GOGAN V. Can we learn to beat the best stock[J]. The Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2004, 21:579-594.
[13] LI B, ZHAO P, HOI S C H, et al. PAMR:Passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection[J]. Machine Learning, 2012, 87(2):221-258.
[14] LI B, HOI S C H, SAHOO D, et al. Moving average reversion strategy for on-line portfolio selection[J]. Artificial Intelligence, 2015, 222(1):104-123.
[15] O'SULLIVAN P, EDELMAN D. Adaptive universal portfolios[J]. The European Journal of Finance, 2015, 21(4):337-351.
[1] Chen Si-dou, Huang Zhuo-quan, Yang Xing-yu. A Multi-period Fuzzy Portfolio Optimization Model Considering Restricted Short Selling [J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2021, 38(02): 39-47.
[2] Yang Xing-yu, Liu Wei-long, Jing Ming-yue, Zhang Yong. A Diversified Portfolio Selection Strategy Based on Fuzzy Return Rate [J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2020, 37(05): 13-21.
[3] He Jin-an, Wang Bei, Lin Jia-xing. An Online Portfolio Strategy Based on Active Expert Advice [J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2020, 37(04): 59-64.
[4] Liu Dong-ning, Wu Xiao-liang, Lu Ming-jian, Lu Ming-jun. Bidding Prediction of Advertisement Keywords via Group Role Combination [J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2018, 35(03): 54-60.
[5] Wang Wei1, Liu Wei2. Extension Evaluation and Transformation of the Stock under Uncertain Profit Rates [J]. Journal of Guangdong University of Technology, 2012, 29(1): 83-87.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!