Journal of Guangdong University of Technology ›› 2020, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (06): 9-16.doi: 10.12052/gdutxb.200078

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The Determination Method for Fault Probability Distribution of Target Event Based on Fault Mode of SFN

Li Sha-sha1, Cui Tie-jun2   

  1. 1. School of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao 125000, China;
    2. College of Safety Science and Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin 123000, China
  • Received:2020-06-11 Online:2020-11-02 Published:2020-11-02

Abstract: To study the fault probability distribution of target event (TEFPD) of fault modes in space fault network (SFN), the distribution characteristics are determined under different conditions, and the determination methods of TEFPD under different conditions are proposed. The research objects are unit fault evolution process and all event induction + target event process. According to the relationships between cause events and result events, the analysis methods are divided into comparative form method and inheritance form method. According to the existence of events in fault modes, the processing methods of fault probability distribution can be divided into maximum method and average method. Considering the influence of many factors, the fault probability distribution of event is introduced into the analysis, and TEFPD is obtained under various conditions. TEFPD is obtained through a simple fault mode. Finally, the significance of TEFPD characteristics obtained by various methods is summarized.

Key words: safety system engineering, system fault evolution process, space fault network, target event, determination of fault probability distribution

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