Journal of Guangdong University of Technology ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (05): 90-96.doi: 10.12052/gdutxb.200145

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A Driving Factors Analysis of the Carbon Emission Change of Rural Electricity Consumption

Lu Xiao-qing1, Fang Yuan1, Liang Ze-qi2   

  1. 1. School of Civil and Transportation Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China;
    2. Zhaoqing Power Supply Bureau, Zhaoqing 526300, China
  • Received:2020-10-30 Online:2021-09-10 Published:2021-07-13

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Abstract: With the continuous development of rural economy, rural energy consumption is gradually changing from biomass energy to electricity. Therefore, identifying the potential driving factors of rural electricity carbon emissions from the perspective of rural areas is an important prerequisite for promoting rural low-carbon development and achieving carbon emission reduction goals. In this study, Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model and ridge regression are used to analyze the influencing factors of carbon emissions from rural electricity consumption in Guangdong Province from 2005 to 2018. The results show that urbanization level, agricultural economic development level, effective irrigation area, agricultural mechanization level, agricultural fixed assets investment, income level and housing conditions are positively correlated with carbon emissions from rural power consumption. Among them, the per capita disposable income of rural residents is the most important factor affecting the carbon emission of rural electricity. In addition, there is a weak decoupling relationship between agricultural economic development and rural electricity carbon emissions. Finally, policy suggestions are put forward on how to reduce rural electricity carbon emissions in Guangdong Province.

Key words: carbon emissions, rural electricity consumption, decoupling analysis

CLC Number: 

  • F282
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